Saturday, September 19, 2009

U.S. game plan for South Asia, the greater Middle East, then China and India in 2015.....and the World at large, is thousands of Tribes with Flags

U.S. game plan for South Asia, the greater Middle East, then China and India in 2015.....and the World at large, is thousands of Tribes with Flags: prepare for new "Stans"... and anything goes, from religious to ethnic wars and from sectarian to tribal warfare , all dirty means will be employed by CIA to attain such goals...


Lebanon is in dire need of radical changes if it is to reverse the process of fragmentation and ultimately dissolution that it is embarked on.
These changes must start with the citizen who is to show loyalty to a Lebanese project and hold his elected officials accountable. No system can survive , or thrive without accountability.
Lebanon is also badly in need of responsible viable journalism that is not only mouth pieces for the various factions. The press in Lebanon does not inform, lead or educate. It simply contributes to the polarization...
"دور المسيحيين في بناء الدولة"

مستذكرا ما قاله البطريرك يوحنا مارون سنة 678:" إن جبل لبنان هو مساحة حرية وبالتالي هو موطن لجميع الراغبين بالعيش الكريم الحر وموطن التلاقي بين الثقافات والأديان، ورسالته أمس واليوم وغدا هي الحوار والإنفتاح والعيش بأخوة تحقيقا لحضارة المحبة التي تدعو إليها المسيحية كما يدعو إليها جميع أصحاب الإرادات الطيبة والنوايا الحسنة من جميع الديانات والمذاهب.

إن المسيحيين في لبنان كما في العالم، يؤمنون بالنظام الديموقراطي لأنه يسمح للمواطن بالمشاركة في الحكم والخيارات المصيرية ويضمن للشعب حقه باختيار ممثليه والرقابة عليهم ومن ثم محاسبتهم. غير أن الكنيسة لا تقبل بأن تتسلم السلطة ولو ديموقراطيا، جماعة لا تحترم رأي المواطنين ولا تحفظ حقوقهم، وتستغل المناصب من أجل المكاسب الخاصة ماديا أو عقائديا. فالديموقراطية الحقة تنطلق من المفهوم الصحيح للشخص البشري ولكرامته وحقوقه النابعة من هذه الكرامة الآتية من كون الإنسان صورة الله. ولأن الديموقراطية الحقة لا تأتي من احترام شكلي لما تنص عليه الأعراف والقوانين بل تأتي من القناعة الراسخة بان القيم والفضائل هي المنطلق الحقيقي لمبادىء الديموقراطية، وهذه القيم هي: كرامة الشخص البشري، إحترام حقوق الإنسان، أولوية الخير العام واعتباره هاجس السلطة الأول من أجل نجاح النظام الديموقراطي. وإذا ابتعدت الديموقراطية عن هذه الأسس تحولت إلى ديكتاتورية بلباس ديموقراطي، وغرقت في النسبية الأخلاقية التي تنفي وجود مقاييس وثوابت يبنى عليها نجاح الحكم.

أن من أخطر ما يتعرض له النظام الديموقراطي هو الفساد والإفساد في إدارة الشأن العام، لأن الفساد يخالف المبادىء الأخلاقية ويقوض أسس العدالة، ويقطع العلاقة الحسنة بين الحاكم والمحكوم، ويولد نفورا بل كرها عند المواطنين للمؤسسات الرسمية ومن يعمل فيها ومن يحمي مخالفاتهم المفضوحة.

Obviously the state also needs national political parties that can appeal to a wide cross section of Lebanese. and last but not least we need a national constitutional conference so that once and for all we can adopt a constitution that represents our aspirations as a free, sovereign independent people, a constitution that I hope will abolish sectarianism, and erect either a strong Presidential system or a parliamentarian one but definitely to abolish the current hybrid that we have.
I can go on and on but these steps should suffice for starters....

We are led to believe that life is an outworking of every man for himself. Life is at its most efficient when we operate to the benefit of all. Benefit naturally accrues to us when we do. It is the way we go that determines the end we arrive at. Let’s give more thought to what we inherently know to be true than to what we are told. We are working against our own best interest most of the time by emulating those who have worked to make us believe what is contrary to the good of us all for the benefit of those who rob and deceive us by tricking us into behaving like them.......

A former U.S. government expert on South Asia who spoke to WMR on the condition of anonymity, has warned that the U.S. government's initial support for Afghan President Hamid Karzai and his Pashtun minority oligarchy in Afghanistan, is doomed to Balkanize both Afghanistan and Pakistan, which also has a significant Pashtun minority.

It is noteworthy that President Obama's special envoy to Afghanistan and Pakistan is Richard Holbrooke, one of the primary architects of the Balkanization of Yugoslavia into seven independent states. Holbrooke is believed to be preparing the groundwork for a similar Balkanization of Afghanistan and Pakistan, a move that will have far-reaching consequences throughout Asia and the Middle East.

The expert, fluent in Urdu, the major language of Pakistan; Dari, a major language in Afghanistan, Pashto, the dominant language of Afghanistan, and Farsi, the major language of Iran, fought constantly with the neo-conservatives in the Bush administration, including the Pentagon's Office of Net Assessment officials Andrew Marshall and Harold Rhode, over their unbridled backing for Karzai and his Pashtuns in the wake of 9/11. That backing, said the expert, created hostility between the United States and the other ethnic minorities in Afghanistan -- the Tajiks, Uzbeks, and Shi'a Hazaras.

What may emerge from a Balkanized Afghanistan and Pakistan are at least seven new nations, with the possibility of additional smaller statelets. When Yugoslavia was under Josip Tito, it was inconceivable at the time that seven independent nations would emerge from the nation. However, after Holbrooke and Secretary of State Madeleine Albright were finished waging their Balkans Wars and George W. Bush continued their policy,the world saw the emergence of Slovenia; Croatia; the Federation of Bosnia-Herzegovina - itself comprised of Bosnian Muslim, Croatian, and Serbian sub-entities; the Former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia, Serbia, Montenegro, and Kosovo.

What may emerge from the ashes of Afghanistan and Pakistan are some eight new nations, with Punjabistan in Pakistan with control of that nation's nuclear arsenal. Just as Kazakhstan, Belarus, and Ukraine came under heavy pressure from both Moscow and Washington to give up their Soviet nuclear arsenals, an independent Punjabistan, with its capital in Islamabad and nuclear weapons research center in nearby Kahuta, will be pressed hard by Washington, New Delhi, Moscow, Beijing -- and behind-the-scenes, Israel -- to do the same.

Just as map makers had a rough time keeping up with changes in Europe and central Asia after the collapse of the Soviet Union, Czechoslovakia, and Yugoslavia, they may, once again, find themselves redrawing maps of South Asia.

Pashtunistan, straddling the Afghan-Pakistani border, with its capital in Kabul and second city in Peshawar, would likely emerge first with a protracted and deadly civil war, a la Yugoslavia, determining final borders with the Tajiks, Uzbeks, Hazaras, and Turkmen. Smaller statelets like Nuristan, Pashaistan, and Gilakistan may emerge from the failed state in the same manner that the small states of Montenegro and Kosovo emerged from Yugoslavia.

On the Pakistani side, Baluchistan, comprising southern Pakistan, parts of southern Afghanistan, and with irredentist designs on Iranian Baluchistan, would become independent but as a virtual vassal state of the United Arab Emirates, which has tremendous financial interest in the region. The Sindhis would see the creation of Sindhu Desh with its capital in Pakistan's largest city, Karachi. The Federally Administered Tribal Areas (FATA) would be incorporated into Pashtunistan. Gilgit-Baltistan, in the eastern Himalayas and which never considered itself part of Pakistan, could go it alone as a remote mini-state like Bhutan and the former independent Kingdom of Sikkim, on the Sino-Indian border.

That leaves Pakistani-controlled Kashmir, which could find itself up for grabs as India would seek to unite it with primarily-Muslim Jammu and Kashmir where there is an independence movement that wants to break with New Delhi and create an independent nation.

Already, the Indian Research and Analysis Wing (RAW) has been caught supplying explosives to Baluci separatists in Pakistan via shipments of "humanitarian" relief supplies to Afghanistan by the Indian Border Roads Organisation. RAW has also reportedly penetrated the Sindh separatist movement in and around Karachi. Israel's Mossad is, according to some reports, assisting RAW with signals intelligence, disinformation campaigns aimed at Pakistan and its ethnic minorities, and cross-border infiltration of agents. The United States is suspected of supporting Baluchis via weapons provided by NATO-equipped fghan army elements.

The "creative destruction" policy used by Holbrooke and company in Yugoslavia may still see a future in Afghanistan and Pakistan. However, it is a future that will see bloody civil wars over control of territory and resources before the final borders are stabilized.

Once the only nuclear weapons in possession of a Muslim counry are wrested from the control of the Punjabis, the Balkanizers can be expected to look west to a country that has already been subjected to ethnic pressures from the United States and Israel -- Iran. An independent Baluchistan in Pakistan would be the first step in softening up southeastern Iran, the home to a large ethnic Baluchi minority.